ULTIMATE BANKROLL CALCULATOR

Calculate your strategy's expectancy, optimal position sizing, risk of ruin and see possible equity journeys of your system to be prepared and adjust risk management accordingly to your specific needs.

The Core Inputs

Probability of winning a trade

Average win / average loss

Use optimal position sizing based on your risk tolerance

Expectancy

1. Expectancy

+0.625R

Average profit per trade

✓ Strong edge
Risk of Ruin

2. Risk of Ruin

Expected worst streak:7–10 losses
With 8.3% risk per trade, account can survive up to:12 consecutive losses
Risk Level:LOW - Safe buffer
✓ Very safe - large margin
Uncertainty Factor

Equity Simulation in Uncertain Markets

Initial capital amount

Number of trades to simulate

Changes the uncertainty seed

⚠ See different random distribution of wins and losses you might experience. This is random and completely out of your control with the uncertainty involved.

Observe 5 different possible equity paths over 100 trades. All use the same strategy but different random distributions of wins and lossess. The experience of 1 trader can significantly differ from the anoother. One of these you may get.

🎯 Results by Luck:
Path 1
$2.7M
+27331.0%DD:22.9%
🌟
Path 2
$1.8M
+18141.6%DD:29.3%
Path 3
$1.5M
+14775.5%DD:22.9%
Path 4
$1.2M
+12030.6%DD:29.3%
Path 5
$989k
+9792.2%DD:48.4%
💀
💡

Key Insight

Any of these paths can be your experience on your journey - you CAN NOT CONTROL which Outcome you get here. But you can influence the inputs through consistent action. Focus on that, that is what you CAN CONTROL. The consistent read & strategy, sizing and behavior. The outcome is out of your hands. But if you repeate your actions consinstenly enough, you will be on the right trajectory towards projected paths.

⚠️ Disclaimer

This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. The information presented here is general in nature and is not specific to you, the user.

Trading and investing in financial markets involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite before making any trading decisions.

You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. The author is not a licensed financial advisor, broker, or dealer. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.